Prediction of Gerard Campana Lee vs Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto at M15 Lima 12-02-25

• Gerard Campana Lee slightly edges out Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto in second serve points won, at 45.88% compared to 44.42%. How important is this? Quite significant for match predictions.
• In return games, Lee is more effective at taking points off the opponent's second serve, winning 49.56% compared to Pagotto's 45.17%. Can this give Lee an advantage? Yes, especially in breaking serves.
• Pagotto has a better breakpoint saving rate, at 55.90% vs. Lee’s 48.92%. Is this helpful for Pagotto? Definitely, especially under pressure situations.
• Match win percentages over the year show Pagotto at 47.92%, slightly higher than Lee’s 42.37%. This suggests Pagotto might have a slight edge in overall match-winning consistency.
• Surface preferences play a role; Lee excels on Clay with a 51% win rate, while Pagotto performs best on Hard courts, also at 51%.
• Pagotto has achieved better results against higher-ranked opponents, facing a tougher average opponent rank of 222.96 compared to Lee’s 394.9.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Pagotto has a better record, winning 56% of these compared to Lee’s 26%, a useful stat for live predictions.
• In recent breakpoint opportunities, Lee converts at 35.91%, slightly higher than Pagotto’s 34.58%, indicating his ability to capitalize on critical points.

Editorial Prediction (December 2, 2025, UTC):

As the upcoming match between Gerard Campana Lee and Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto approaches, we delve into their respective strengths and recent performances to anticipate a likely winner.

Gerard Campana Lee displays a slight advantage in second serve performance and return games, which can be pivotal in breaking the opponent’s serve. However, Pagotto demonstrates resilience under pressure, as shown by his higher breakpoint saving percentage, indicating his steadiness in crucial junctures of the match.

Over the past year, Pagotto holds a better win record against higher-quality opponents, enhancing his credibility to perform in tough battles. Moreover, his superior performance in deciding sets gives him an edge if the match proves tightly contested.

Considering these factors, while Lee shows strength in certain statistical areas, Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto appears more equipped to tackle varied challenges posed by the game. Hence, Pagotto is the likely winner for this upcoming tennis match based on the given data.